https://marco.org/2007/05/20/if-all-the-experts-tell-you-to-go-right-and-you
If all the experts tell you to go right, and you decide to go left, you’re probably stupid. But if you get lucky, and discover a pot of gold along the stupid path, people will call you a leader. You’ll still be stupid, but fewer people will feel the need to point that out.